Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 10.948010 12.514377 14.235674 16.269241 18.608353 21.217311 24.351696
2025-11-23 8.600742 10.587699 12.944415 15.952009 19.697518 24.220468 30.115145
2025-11-30 7.645924 9.923701 12.777076 16.626620 21.704582 28.201766 37.190348
2025-12-07 6.814802 9.235118 12.405547 16.882673 23.075590 31.388406 43.475209
2025-12-14 6.079533 8.550225 11.913584 16.854496 23.976432 33.943936 49.081292
2025-12-21 5.450019 7.921574 11.403172 16.701229 24.624855 36.138049 54.322410
2025-12-28 5.139456 7.702845 11.430822 17.293949 26.371398 40.034788 62.429901
2026-01-04 4.826629 7.440761 11.355748 17.703222 27.850318 43.632064 70.407383
2026-01-11 4.594664 7.273305 11.397239 18.278300 29.616780 47.807797 79.701023
2026-01-18 4.169736 6.759707 10.847475 17.847265 29.701826 49.263967 84.600719
2026-01-25 3.825579 6.343374 10.412085 17.553168 29.967173 51.011185 90.128273
2026-02-01 3.531473 5.982642 10.033562 17.312515 30.285985 52.852211 95.966927
2026-02-08 3.260987 5.642869 9.667717 17.070528 30.596348 54.735058 102.137377
2026-02-15 3.001668 5.300351 9.267918 16.730172 30.693072 56.234161 107.734381
2026-02-22 2.932885 5.287959 9.442745 17.439467 32.775657 61.555671 121.204330
2026-03-01 2.803235 5.153514 9.385468 17.708615 34.044176 65.445956 132.237269
2026-03-08 2.643145 4.949110 9.182095 17.678996 34.724626 68.247544 141.329415
2026-03-15 2.479876 4.725343 8.923873 17.517887 35.123880 70.515806 149.524112
2026-03-22 2.426602 4.708389 9.057071 18.140954 37.161319 76.279843 165.798808
2026-03-29 2.353060 4.645411 9.094701 18.571211 38.833775 81.432171 181.270320
2026-04-05 2.302774 4.624529 9.212949 19.175810 40.925703 87.659683 199.827060
2026-04-12 2.144691 4.372250 8.844930 18.722643 40.685774 88.796873 206.728007
2026-04-19 2.013355 4.165660 8.555349 18.413460 40.733956 90.570248 215.309777